Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009968 0.011921 0.014320 0.017542 0.021852 0.027560 0.035954
2025-05-04 0.007476 0.009697 0.012772 0.017534 0.025120 0.037568 0.061741
2025-05-11 0.006155 0.008399 0.011756 0.017485 0.027878 0.048180 0.099308
2025-05-18 0.005205 0.007356 0.010749 0.016970 0.029444 0.057650 0.148582
2025-05-25 0.004450 0.006443 0.009713 0.016028 0.029705 0.064558 0.205613
2025-06-01 0.003916 0.005788 0.008961 0.015379 0.030281 0.072885 0.293318
2025-06-08 0.003631 0.005495 0.008775 0.015776 0.033484 0.092301 0.534052
2025-06-15 0.003324 0.005116 0.008359 0.015572 0.035082 0.108581 0.912168
2025-06-22 0.002987 0.004646 0.007698 0.014662 0.034320 0.114898 1.299313
2025-06-29 0.002806 0.004432 0.007501 0.014780 0.036753 0.140314 2.925930
2025-07-06 0.002691 0.004324 0.007496 0.015360 0.041072 0.186076 12.516665
2025-07-13 0.002633 0.004316 0.007693 0.016518 0.048354 0.277802 1929.352232
2025-07-20 0.002514 0.004193 0.007668 0.017204 0.055078 0.413242 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002354 0.003978 0.007409 0.017177 0.058960 0.559661 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002213 0.003782 0.007166 0.017128 0.062913 0.772124 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002062 0.003552 0.006810 0.016628 0.064116 0.966557 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001906 0.003296 0.006360 0.015711 0.062262 1.063299 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001780 0.003094 0.006016 0.015079 0.061836 1.247785 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001716 0.003019 0.005972 0.015466 0.068681 2.161442 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001631 0.002889 0.005777 0.015267 0.071370 3.155302 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001523 0.002701 0.005416 0.014381 0.068068 3.293480 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001467 0.002624 0.005327 0.014497 0.073178 6.031021 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001433 0.002591 0.005351 0.015061 0.083324 19.476659 NaN